Blog : Kansas is going blue..

5533 posts
10/30/2020 3:43 am

Kansas is going blue..

I have done my analysis of the 2020 Kansas election..

Kansas is going BLUE

Here are the facts..

In ' Trump won the state with 660,000 and 400,000 votes for Hilary .. that would seem pretty. insurmountable for 2020...
At that time the Republican senator candidate won by the same margin. there wasn't a single house democrat member from Kansas .

There are 105 counties in Kansas ...Hillary won two. Douglas county...Lawrence Kansas
And Wyandotte county, Kansas city, Kansas
Lawrence IS KANSAS UNIVERSITY... And Kansas city Kansas has the only significant minority population.
In the biggest counties Trump won by single digits in the biggest County, Johnson county, the vote was Trump 0000 an Hillary 0000 a 2 pt win.. In Eastern Kansas .. Hillary came real close winning.. in Western Kansas Trump got more than 80% of the vote.

In 2018, midterm.. The total vote in Kansas almost matched the 20 presidential with one million votes.. State wide.. A women Democrat won the Governor with 510,000 votes
Eastern Kansas send a women, Indian, democrat, lesbian 2 the house of Representative... Two largest cities , Topeka Kansas and Wichita Kansas elected Democrat mayors.
This was virtually unheard of in past elections.

Here's why Kansas will be Blue this year.

The first criteria 2 make that happen is an increase in vote count.. The normal one million votes needs 2 increase.
Second Trump will win the west...but in the West Trump CAN'T increase the vote. In fact i doubt he will reach the 80%. maybe 70%..
In 2018 the biggest cities in Kansas went democrat. The increase in vote will come from those places. With that trend Trump will lose the biggest counties in Kansas which represents 50% of the vote.. he barely won them in '.
It's virtually impossible for Trump exceed his 600,000 from '

If there are 1.2 million votes in Kansas in 2020 Trump WILL LOSE.. there are two million registered voters in Kansas.. Kansas will surpass 1.2 million.. since 1 million voted in the midterm Kansas will in this election exceed 1.2 million...
Biden will WIN KANSAS

LeafReport 73M

10/30/2020 4:21 am

I'm taking a break from my election prediction today - I'm yielding to you. GIVE ME MORE...what do you think elsewhere....Florida, Graham in SC and Texas?

jiminycricket1 74M

13732 posts
10/30/2020 4:33 am

okay that's my prediction.. In the Senate race.. it's actually more up in the air. I think some Republicans who will vote for Biden may split their ticket...But in this election that MAY be balanced by Republican who vote for Trump splitting their ticket. The Democrat senate nominee. is the most conservative democrat in the country. Kansas is mostly Republican.

LeafReport 73M

10/30/2020 4:37 am

Do you see a similar thing happening in Montana...perhaps giving it to Trump but sending the former Democratic Governor to the senate?

jiminycricket1 74M

13732 posts
10/30/2020 4:39 am

LeafReport

well it should go the same.. but it may not.. my last post about Missouri is the reason.

KANSAS IS NOT INTO VOTER SUPPRESSION. Their voting rules are fairly liberal..
Kansas will most likely be a true count...
that's why the results in Kansas are so important.. i can Trust them.

jiminycricket1 74M

13732 posts
10/30/2020 5:01 am

Yes..., Colorado, Iowa and Arizona are pretty sure bets.
Maine , Montana, Georgia, Michigan and Kansas look winable.
North Carolina.. questionable
South Carolina AND TexaS.. NOT SO Good I would be very surprised

But Alabama will disgrace the country again.. as Doug Jones is legitimate and Tommy Tuberville.. is laughable.

LeafReport 73M

10/30/2020 8:06 am

jiminycricket1

Yes that is a good barometer...at least of that demographic... But that can't be applied elsewhere.

LeafReport 73M

10/30/2020 8:13 am

jiminycricket1

Yes Alabama so sad. I think Biden is going to win Texas...man Orourke changed everything. I never would have said that but covid I think pushed voters over the edge

TxJW4 81M

10/30/2020 9:06 am

I was in Waco Texas Yesterday.
Multiple U.S. flag displays with bone spur signs.
Not one single Biden sign.
Biden voters must feel intimidated

For some reason the uneducated country yahoos who usually show support by automotive bumper sticker have bare bumpers this year.
I assume that means they have realized the MAGA was only bullshit.
We shall see how the vote goes.